Disasters and Expectations

Disaster Risk and Asset Returns: An International Perspective

with Edith Liu, Journal of International Economics, May 2017, 108: pp. S42-S58.
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Differences of Opinion and International Equity Markets

with Bernard Dumas and Emilio Osambela, Review of Financial Studies, March 2017, 30: pp. 750-800.
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Peso Problem

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Edition, Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume, eds, (Palgrave-Macmillan: New York), 2008.
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Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Signal Future Monetary Policy?

(Joint with Graciela Kaminsky), Journal of Monetary Economics, April 1996, 37: 285-312.
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Stochastic Regime Switching and Stabilizing Interventions within Regimes

International Journal of Finance and Economics, April 1996.
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Occasional Interventions to Target Rates

American Economic Review, Sept 1995, 85: 691-715.
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Do Long-Term Swings in the Dollar Affect Estimates of the Risk Premium?

(Joint with Martin Evans) Review of Financial Studies, Sept 1995, 8, 709-742.
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Do Expected Shifts in Inflation Affect Estimates of the Long-Run Fisher Relation?

(Joint with Martin Evans), Journal of Finance, March 1995, 50: 225-253.
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Do Stationary Risk Premia Explain It All? Evidence from the Term Structure

(Joint with Martin Evans), Journal of Monetary Economics, April 1994, 33: 285-318.
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El Proceso de Aprendizaje en los Regimenes Cambiarios (The Learning Process in Changing Regimes)

Cuadernos Economicos (Informacion Comercial Espanola, Madrid), 1993/1, 53: 77- 93.
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Learning About Intervention Target Zones

(joint with Michael Klein), Journal of International Economics, December 1993, 35: 275-295.
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Trends in Excess Returns in Currency and Bond Markets

(joint with Martin Evans), European Economic Review, June 1993, 37: 1005-1020.
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Peso Problem, in J. Eatwell, M. Milgate, and P. Newman, eds.

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance (Macmillan Press, London), 1992.
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Was There a `Peso Problem' in the U.S. Interest Rate Term Structure: 1979-1982?

International Economic Review, February 1991, 32: 159-173.
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Changing Beliefs and Systematic Rational Forecast Errors with Evidence from Foreign Exchange

American Economic Review, September 1989, 79: 621-636.
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Can Learning Affect Exchange Rate Behavior? The Case of the Dollar in the Early 1980's

Journal of Monetary Economics, January 1989, 23: 79-100.
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The Persistence of the `Peso Problem' When Policy is Noisy

Journal of International Money and Finance, March 1988, 7: 5-21.
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